DDM Analysis: SHA.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$72.66 - $85.62	$80.23
Multi-Stage	$50.35 - $55.28	$52.77
Blended Fair Value	$66.50
Current Price	$4.45
Upside	1,394.41%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	6.65%	17.95%	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.10	0.15	0.13	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	29.75%	107.33%	-28.96%	-34.03%	9.46%	21.73%	37.64%	71.45%	24.24%	5.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.12%	6.20%	4.67%	5.08%	7.24%	6.62%	5.44%	3.95%	2.30%	1.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	37.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13.42

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.43	4.64	2.79
Cash Retained (M)	13.42	13.42	13.42
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.43	-4.64	-2.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.00	8.78	10.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	85.58	85.58	85.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.10	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.10	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.35	0.38	0.40
WACC / Discount Rate	1.39%	1.39%	1.39%
Growth Rate	4.65%	5.65%	6.65%
Fair Value	$72.66	$80.23	$85.62
Upside / Downside	1,532.81%	1,702.95%	1,824.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	37.14	39.24	41.46	43.80	46.28	48.89	50.36
Payout Ratio	63.86%	69.08%	74.31%	79.54%	84.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.71	27.11	30.81	34.84	39.23	44.00	46.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.39%	1.39%	1.39%
Growth Rate	4.65%	5.65%	6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)	26.48	26.74	26.99
Year 2 PV (M)	29.40	29.97	30.54
Year 3 PV (M)	32.49	33.43	34.39
Year 4 PV (M)	35.74	37.12	38.55
Year 5 PV (M)	39.17	41.07	43.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,146.13	4,348.04	4,557.74
Equity Value (M)	4,309.41	4,516.37	4,731.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	85.58	85.58	85.58
Fair Value	$50.35	$52.77	$55.28
Upside / Downside	1,031.53%	1,085.88%	1,142.30%

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Financial Statements

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SHAPE Australia Corporation Limited (SHA.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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