DDM Analysis: SGP.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.08 - $10.59	$8.01
Multi-Stage	$11.24 - $12.33	$11.78
Blended Fair Value	$9.89
Current Price	$5.36
Upside	84.60%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-4.42%	2.28%	0.22	0.22	0.26	0.25	0.22	0.27	0.27	0.23	0.20	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.87%	-15.21%	4.64%	15.30%	-20.52%	0.77%	16.40%	17.86%	6.25%	6.92%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.07%	5.23%	6.51%	6.94%	4.67%	8.26%	6.45%	5.87%	4.52%	3.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,131.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	931.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	200.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	226.20	141.38	84.83
Cash Retained (M)	200.00	200.00	200.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-226.20	-141.38	-84.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-26.20	58.63	115.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,405.67	2,405.67	2,405.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.02	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.39	0.39	0.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.02	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.38	0.41	0.43
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	0.28%	1.28%	2.28%
Fair Value	$6.08	$8.01	$10.59
Upside / Downside	13.49%	49.48%	97.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,131.00	1,145.49	1,160.16	1,175.02	1,190.07	1,205.31	1,241.47
Payout Ratio	82.32%	83.85%	85.39%	86.93%	88.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	931.00	960.53	990.66	1,021.41	1,052.78	1,084.78	1,148.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	0.28%	1.28%	2.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	893.16	902.06	910.97
Year 2 PV (M)	856.57	873.73	891.07
Year 3 PV (M)	821.21	846.02	871.33
Year 4 PV (M)	787.06	818.93	851.75
Year 5 PV (M)	754.11	792.47	832.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,932.81	24,099.27	25,312.72
Equity Value (M)	27,044.91	28,332.48	29,670.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,405.67	2,405.67	2,405.67
Fair Value	$11.24	$11.78	$12.33
Upside / Downside	109.74%	119.73%	130.10%

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Stockland (SGP.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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