DDM Analysis: SCA-A.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$29.17 - $40.88	$34.99
Multi-Stage	$153.98 - $170.81	$162.22
Blended Fair Value	$98.61
Current Price	$124.60
Upside	-20.86%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.46%	-5.94%	2.75	2.50	2.25	2.00	0.00	1.75	1.50	6.00	6.02	5.56
YoY Growth	-	-	9.97%	11.14%	12.46%	0.00%	-100.00%	16.60%	-74.99%	-0.33%	8.33%	9.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.10%	1.56%	1.63%	1.10%	0.00%	1.75%	1.63%	6.78%	9.67%	10.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,540.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,107.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,433.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	708.00	442.50	265.50
Cash Retained (M)	1,433.00	1,433.00	1,433.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-708.00	-442.50	-265.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	725.00	990.50	1,167.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	702.16	702.16	702.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.41	1.66
LTM Dividend per Share	3.00	3.00	3.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.41	1.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.03	4.41	4.66
WACC / Discount Rate	4.79%	4.79%	4.79%
Growth Rate	-7.94%	-6.94%	-5.94%
Fair Value	$29.17	$34.99	$40.88
Upside / Downside	-76.59%	-71.91%	-67.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,540.00	3,294.17	3,065.41	2,852.53	2,654.44	2,470.10	2,544.20
Payout Ratio	59.52%	65.62%	71.71%	77.81%	83.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,107.00	2,161.49	2,198.26	2,219.49	2,227.18	2,223.09	2,353.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.79%	4.79%	4.79%
Growth Rate	-7.94%	-6.94%	-5.94%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,040.60	2,062.77	2,084.94
Year 2 PV (M)	1,959.24	2,002.04	2,045.30
Year 3 PV (M)	1,867.53	1,929.05	1,991.91
Year 4 PV (M)	1,769.18	1,847.32	1,928.01
Year 5 PV (M)	1,667.17	1,759.71	1,856.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	98,816.93	104,302.06	110,028.10
Equity Value (M)	108,120.65	113,902.95	119,934.58
Shares Outstanding (M)	702.16	702.16	702.16
Fair Value	$153.98	$162.22	$170.81
Upside / Downside	23.58%	30.19%	37.08%

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300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
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KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCA-A.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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