DDM Analysis: SAMS.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$446.83 - $1,311.37	$704.12
Multi-Stage	$476.79 - $522.39	$499.16
Blended Fair Value	$601.64
Current Price	$155.00
Upside	288.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	32.09%	17.29%	10.16	16.20	16.19	8.07	16.15	2.53	2.52	2.22	2.12	2.12
YoY Growth	-	-	-37.30%	0.05%	100.54%	-50.01%	539.28%	0.06%	13.61%	4.79%	0.00%	2.85%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.05%	8.02%	8.63%	3.92%	10.69%	1.49%	1.93%	1.30%	1.45%	1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	61.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	34.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	27.08

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.36	7.72	4.63
Cash Retained (M)	27.08	27.08	27.08
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.36	-7.72	-4.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	14.73	19.36	22.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.42	3.42	3.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.31	5.67	6.57
LTM Dividend per Share	10.16	10.16	10.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.31	5.67	6.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14.47	15.83	16.73
WACC / Discount Rate	6.55%	6.55%	6.55%
Growth Rate	3.21%	4.21%	5.21%
Fair Value	$446.83	$704.12	$1,311.37
Upside / Downside	188.27%	354.27%	746.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	61.78	64.38	67.09	69.91	72.85	75.91	78.19
Payout Ratio	56.16%	62.93%	69.70%	76.47%	83.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	34.70	40.51	46.76	53.46	60.63	68.32	72.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.55%	6.55%	6.55%
Growth Rate	3.21%	4.21%	5.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	37.66	38.03	38.39
Year 2 PV (M)	40.40	41.19	41.98
Year 3 PV (M)	42.93	44.19	45.48
Year 4 PV (M)	45.27	47.05	48.88
Year 5 PV (M)	47.41	49.75	52.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,414.85	1,484.73	1,557.35
Equity Value (M)	1,628.52	1,704.94	1,784.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.42	3.42	3.42
Fair Value	$476.79	$499.16	$522.39
Upside / Downside	207.61%	222.04%	237.03%

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Samse S.A. (SAMS.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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