DDM Analysis: SAMF.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,107.52 - $5,160.88	$4,836.50
Multi-Stage	$858.44 - $938.46	$897.72
Blended Fair Value	$2,867.11
Current Price	$320.00
Upside	795.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	36.31%	0.00%	21.14	15.58	8.35	8.71	5.15	4.49	3.99	2.82	10.99	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	35.70%	86.59%	-4.15%	69.13%	14.64%	12.57%	41.73%	-74.38%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.33%	4.24%	2.74%	2.88%	2.59%	5.55%	4.93%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	265,991.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	227,716.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	38,274.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	53,198.28	33,248.92	19,949.35
Cash Retained (M)	38,274.86	38,274.86	38,274.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-53,198.28	-33,248.92	-19,949.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-14,923.42	5,025.93	18,325.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10,250.00	10,250.00	10,250.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-1.46	0.49	1.79
LTM Dividend per Share	22.22	22.22	22.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-1.46	0.49	1.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	20.76	22.71	24.00
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,107.52	$4,836.50	$5,160.88
Upside / Downside	871.10%	1,411.41%	1,512.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	265,991.40	283,280.84	301,694.09	321,304.21	342,188.98	364,431.26	375,364.20
Payout Ratio	85.61%	86.49%	87.37%	88.24%	89.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	227,716.54	245,005.04	263,578.95	283,532.32	304,966.00	327,988.14	347,211.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	228,524.99	230,691.10	232,857.21
Year 2 PV (M)	229,312.67	233,680.43	238,089.40
Year 3 PV (M)	230,079.84	236,684.60	243,414.57
Year 4 PV (M)	230,826.72	239,703.67	248,834.22
Year 5 PV (M)	231,553.56	242,737.69	254,349.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,648,665.35	8,018,098.75	8,401,671.23
Equity Value (M)	8,798,963.13	9,201,596.24	9,619,216.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	10,250.00	10,250.00	10,250.00
Fair Value	$858.44	$897.72	$938.46
Upside / Downside	168.26%	180.54%	193.27%

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PT Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur, Tbk (SAMF.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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