DDM Analysis: SAIC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$110.30 - $199.45	$147.49
Multi-Stage	$145.83 - $160.06	$152.81
Blended Fair Value	$150.15
Current Price	$93.71
Upside	60.23%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-2.92%	3.73%	1.57	1.66	1.74	1.81	1.83	1.83	1.11	1.13	1.13	1.15
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.06%	-4.82%	-3.49%	-1.15%	0.00%	64.15%	-1.85%	0.00%	-1.82%	5.77%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.33%	1.26%	1.72%	2.17%	2.04%	2.31%	1.48%	1.32%	1.52%	2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	371.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	71.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	300.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	74.20	46.38	27.83
Cash Retained (M)	300.00	300.00	300.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-74.20	-46.38	-27.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	225.80	253.63	272.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	47.63	47.63	47.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.74	5.33	5.71
LTM Dividend per Share	1.49	1.49	1.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.74	5.33	5.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.23	6.82	7.21
WACC / Discount Rate	7.48%	7.48%	7.48%
Growth Rate	1.73%	2.73%	3.73%
Fair Value	$110.30	$147.49	$199.45
Upside / Downside	17.71%	57.39%	112.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	371.00	381.13	391.54	402.23	413.21	424.49	437.22
Payout Ratio	19.14%	33.31%	47.48%	61.65%	75.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	71.00	126.95	185.91	247.99	313.33	382.04	404.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.48%	7.48%	7.48%
Growth Rate	1.73%	2.73%	3.73%
Year 1 PV (M)	116.97	118.12	119.27
Year 2 PV (M)	157.82	160.94	164.09
Year 3 PV (M)	193.97	199.75	205.64
Year 4 PV (M)	225.80	234.81	244.09
Year 5 PV (M)	253.67	266.39	279.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,996.98	6,297.58	6,610.11
Equity Value (M)	6,945.21	7,277.59	7,622.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	47.63	47.63	47.63
Fair Value	$145.83	$152.81	$160.06
Upside / Downside	55.62%	63.07%	70.80%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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