DDM Analysis: S7MB.BE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$867.30 - $1,937.66	$1,815.87
Multi-Stage	$287.31 - $314.64	$300.73
Blended Fair Value	$1,058.30
Current Price	$143.17
Upside	639.19%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.27%	7.11%	3.80	3.45	2.80	2.55	3.06	2.80	2.55	2.39	2.23	1.91
YoY Growth	-	-	10.12%	23.25%	9.86%	-16.67%	9.09%	10.00%	6.65%	7.15%	16.66%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.68%	3.07%	3.02%	2.76%	2.48%	3.22%	2.01%	2.05%	1.95%	1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,582.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,289.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,293.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,116.40	697.75	418.65
Cash Retained (M)	4,293.00	4,293.00	4,293.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,116.40	-697.75	-418.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,176.60	3,595.25	3,874.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	572.92	572.92	572.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.54	6.28	6.76
LTM Dividend per Share	2.25	2.25	2.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.54	6.28	6.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.79	8.53	9.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$867.30	$1,815.87	$1,937.66
Upside / Downside	505.79%	1,168.33%	1,253.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,582.00	5,944.83	6,331.24	6,742.77	7,181.06	7,647.82	7,877.26
Payout Ratio	23.09%	36.47%	49.86%	63.24%	76.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,289.00	2,168.30	3,156.46	4,263.92	5,502.01	6,883.04	7,286.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,017.83	2,036.95	2,056.08
Year 2 PV (M)	2,733.57	2,785.63	2,838.19
Year 3 PV (M)	3,436.40	3,535.04	3,635.56
Year 4 PV (M)	4,126.49	4,285.18	4,448.41
Year 5 PV (M)	4,804.02	5,036.05	5,276.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	147,488.15	154,611.89	162,008.26
Equity Value (M)	164,606.45	172,290.75	180,263.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	572.92	572.92	572.92
Fair Value	$287.31	$300.73	$314.64
Upside / Downside	100.68%	110.05%	119.77%

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Financial Statements

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Securitas AB (publ) (S7MB.BE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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