Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

S 11 Group Public Company Limited (S11.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.22 - $10.18$7.99
Multi-Stage$18.91 - $20.87$19.87
Blended Fair Value$13.93
Current Price$2.96
Upside370.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.260.250.380.390.330.340.380.17
YoY Growth---100.00%-61.54%4.00%-34.21%-2.56%18.18%-2.94%-10.53%123.64%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.55%5.19%4.07%5.08%8.48%4.50%4.51%4.36%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1443.2125.93
Cash Retained (M)284.40284.40284.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.14-43.21-25.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)215.26241.19258.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate5.17%5.17%5.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.22$7.99$10.18
Upside / Downside110.13%169.80%243.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.70342.25338.82335.43332.08328.76338.62
Payout Ratio17.73%32.19%46.64%61.09%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.30110.15158.02204.93250.87295.88313.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.17%5.17%5.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)103.68104.74105.80
Year 2 PV (M)140.00142.87145.77
Year 3 PV (M)170.88176.16181.56
Year 4 PV (M)196.90205.06213.47
Year 5 PV (M)218.58229.96241.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,661.8111,216.9911,795.07
Equity Value (M)11,491.8412,075.7912,683.48
Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
Fair Value$18.91$19.87$20.87
Upside / Downside538.84%571.30%605.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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