Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rollins, Inc. (ROL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.25 - $211.78$92.05
Multi-Stage$24.05 - $26.27$25.14
Blended Fair Value$58.59
Current Price$58.74
Upside-0.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.14%14.68%0.620.550.440.430.330.320.320.250.220.19
YoY Growth--12.73%24.92%1.42%30.01%4.32%0.72%25.18%11.94%18.80%21.13%
Dividend Yield--1.14%1.19%1.16%1.23%0.96%1.32%1.13%1.11%1.36%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)515.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)319.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)196.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.1964.4938.70
Cash Retained (M)196.46196.46196.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.19-64.49-38.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.28131.97157.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)484.50484.50484.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.270.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.270.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.25$92.05$211.78
Upside / Downside-26.37%56.70%260.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)515.94549.48585.19623.23663.74706.88728.09
Payout Ratio61.92%67.54%73.15%78.77%84.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)319.48371.10428.08490.91560.09636.19673.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)341.72344.96348.20
Year 2 PV (M)362.98369.90376.88
Year 3 PV (M)383.30394.30405.51
Year 4 PV (M)402.69418.18434.11
Year 5 PV (M)421.20441.54462.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,739.5010,209.9210,698.35
Equity Value (M)11,651.3912,178.7912,725.70
Shares Outstanding (M)484.50484.50484.50
Fair Value$24.05$25.14$26.27
Upside / Downside-59.06%-57.21%-55.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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