DDM Analysis: QUB.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.32 - $6.67	$4.62
Multi-Stage	$2.73 - $2.97	$2.85
Blended Fair Value	$3.73
Current Price	$4.28
Upside	-12.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	12.96%	13.33%	0.09	0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.05	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	10.85%	7.82%	27.85%	53.96%	-21.82%	-33.90%	59.93%	46.52%	5.32%	16.54%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.16%	2.30%	2.71%	2.21%	1.24%	1.73%	2.58%	2.05%	1.28%	1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	336.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	311.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	25.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	67.22	42.01	25.21
Cash Retained (M)	25.10	25.10	25.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-67.22	-42.01	-25.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-42.12	-16.91	-0.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,769.86	1,769.86	1,769.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.18	0.18	0.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.15	0.17	0.18
WACC / Discount Rate	10.33%	10.33%	10.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3.32	$4.62	$6.67
Upside / Downside	-22.49%	7.92%	55.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	336.10	357.95	381.21	405.99	432.38	460.49	474.30
Payout Ratio	92.53%	92.03%	91.52%	91.01%	90.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	311.00	329.40	348.88	369.50	391.33	414.44	438.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.33%	10.33%	10.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	295.75	298.56	301.36
Year 2 PV (M)	281.25	286.60	292.01
Year 3 PV (M)	267.44	275.12	282.94
Year 4 PV (M)	254.31	264.09	274.15
Year 5 PV (M)	241.81	253.49	265.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,491.63	3,660.27	3,835.37
Equity Value (M)	4,832.19	5,038.13	5,251.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,769.86	1,769.86	1,769.86
Fair Value	$2.73	$2.85	$2.97
Upside / Downside	-36.21%	-33.49%	-30.67%

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Qube Holdings Limited (QUB.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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