DDM Analysis: QNBK.QA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$311.28 - $366.74	$343.68
Multi-Stage	$75.28 - $82.47	$78.81
Blended Fair Value	$211.25
Current Price	$17.35
Upside	1,117.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.34%	6.36%	0.99	0.60	0.55	0.45	0.60	0.60	0.60	0.32	0.27	0.57
YoY Growth	-	-	63.49%	9.08%	22.02%	-24.77%	-0.09%	-0.14%	89.24%	18.70%	-52.81%	7.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.12%	4.23%	3.44%	1.96%	3.35%	3.59%	3.34%	2.41%	1.84%	4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16,955.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,443.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10,512.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,391.18	2,119.49	1,271.69
Cash Retained (M)	10,512.29	10,512.29	10,512.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,391.18	-2,119.49	-1,271.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	7,121.11	8,392.81	9,240.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9,194.92	9,194.92	9,194.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.77	0.91	1.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.70	0.70	0.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.77	0.91	1.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.48	1.61	1.71
WACC / Discount Rate	5.54%	5.54%	5.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$311.28	$343.68	$366.74
Upside / Downside	1,694.10%	1,880.89%	2,013.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16,955.89	18,058.02	19,231.79	20,481.86	21,813.18	23,231.04	23,927.97
Payout Ratio	38.00%	48.40%	58.80%	69.20%	79.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,443.60	8,740.39	11,308.54	14,173.62	17,363.38	20,907.93	22,133.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.54%	5.54%	5.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,203.48	8,281.24	8,359.00
Year 2 PV (M)	9,961.88	10,151.63	10,343.16
Year 3 PV (M)	11,718.80	12,055.21	12,397.99
Year 4 PV (M)	13,474.24	13,992.42	14,525.41
Year 5 PV (M)	15,228.20	15,963.72	16,727.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	633,566.38	664,167.87	695,940.56
Equity Value (M)	692,152.98	724,612.09	758,293.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	9,194.92	9,194.92	9,194.92
Fair Value	$75.28	$78.81	$82.47
Upside / Downside	333.87%	354.21%	375.32%

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Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (QNBK.QA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener