DDM Analysis: QBE.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$106.62 - $493.62	$239.74
Multi-Stage	$56.44 - $61.71	$59.03
Blended Fair Value	$149.38
Current Price	$15.39
Upside	870.65%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.99%	12.05%	0.45	0.29	0.21	0.11	0.18	0.30	0.16	0.35	0.33	0.24
YoY Growth	-	-	52.83%	40.00%	94.44%	-38.87%	-42.27%	93.67%	-55.87%	8.70%	37.60%	66.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.75%	2.89%	2.27%	1.30%	2.67%	3.36%	2.20%	4.23%	3.65%	2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,756.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,475.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,281.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	751.20	469.50	281.70
Cash Retained (M)	2,281.00	2,281.00	2,281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-751.20	-469.50	-281.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,529.80	1,811.50	1,999.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,513.25	1,513.25	1,513.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.01	1.20	1.32
LTM Dividend per Share	0.97	0.97	0.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.01	1.20	1.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.99	2.17	2.30
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$106.62	$239.74	$493.62
Upside / Downside	592.79%	1,457.74%	3,107.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,756.00	4,000.14	4,260.15	4,537.06	4,831.97	5,146.05	5,300.43
Payout Ratio	39.27%	49.42%	59.56%	69.71%	79.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,475.00	1,976.73	2,537.44	3,162.70	3,858.52	4,631.44	4,902.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,822.14	1,839.42	1,856.69
Year 2 PV (M)	2,156.10	2,197.17	2,238.63
Year 3 PV (M)	2,477.24	2,548.35	2,620.81
Year 4 PV (M)	2,785.91	2,893.05	3,003.25
Year 5 PV (M)	3,082.47	3,231.36	3,385.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	73,085.81	76,615.88	80,281.06
Equity Value (M)	85,409.68	89,325.23	93,386.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,513.25	1,513.25	1,513.25
Fair Value	$56.44	$59.03	$61.71
Upside / Downside	266.74%	283.55%	300.99%

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MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
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SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
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Financial Statements

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QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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