DDM Analysis: PUB.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$855.76 - $2,496.15	$2,339.26
Multi-Stage	$346.47 - $378.96	$362.42
Blended Fair Value	$1,350.84
Current Price	$95.68
Upside	1,311.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.51%	22.62%	3.37	2.87	0.33	0.90	0.40	1.13	0.83	0.67	0.76	0.95
YoY Growth	-	-	17.49%	772.60%	-63.35%	122.55%	-64.21%	35.71%	23.53%	-11.92%	-19.58%	116.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.28%	3.42%	0.55%	1.52%	0.99%	2.79%	1.66%	1.22%	1.16%	1.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,173.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,579.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,594.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	634.60	396.63	237.98
Cash Retained (M)	1,594.00	1,594.00	1,594.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-634.60	-396.63	-237.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	959.40	1,197.38	1,356.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	252.80	252.80	252.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.80	4.74	5.36
LTM Dividend per Share	6.25	6.25	6.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.80	4.74	5.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.04	10.98	11.61
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$855.76	$2,339.26	$2,496.15
Upside / Downside	794.40%	2,344.88%	2,508.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,173.00	3,379.25	3,598.90	3,832.82	4,081.96	4,347.28	4,477.70
Payout Ratio	49.76%	57.81%	65.86%	73.91%	81.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,579.00	1,953.57	2,370.17	2,832.67	3,345.28	3,912.56	4,141.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,813.07	1,830.25	1,847.44
Year 2 PV (M)	2,041.49	2,080.38	2,119.63
Year 3 PV (M)	2,264.37	2,329.38	2,395.61
Year 4 PV (M)	2,481.81	2,577.26	2,675.43
Year 5 PV (M)	2,693.90	2,824.02	2,959.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	76,294.30	79,979.34	83,805.42
Equity Value (M)	87,588.95	91,620.62	95,802.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	252.80	252.80	252.80
Fair Value	$346.47	$362.42	$378.96
Upside / Downside	262.12%	278.79%	296.07%

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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
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Publicis Groupe S.A. (PUB.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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