DDM Analysis: PSGO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$166.13 - $246.20	$204.39
Multi-Stage	$308.64 - $339.27	$323.66
Blended Fair Value	$264.02
Current Price	$220.00
Upside	20.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	8.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.91%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	391,880.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	150,800.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)	241,080.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	78,376.06	48,985.04	29,391.02
Cash Retained (M)	241,080.27	241,080.27	241,080.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-78,376.06	-48,985.04	-29,391.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)	162,704.20	192,095.23	211,689.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	18,850.00	18,850.00	18,850.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.63	10.19	11.23
LTM Dividend per Share	8.00	8.00	8.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.63	10.19	11.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.63	18.19	19.23
WACC / Discount Rate	7.81%	7.81%	7.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$166.13	$204.39	$246.20
Upside / Downside	-24.49%	-7.09%	11.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	391,880.32	387,961.51	384,081.90	380,241.08	376,438.67	372,674.28	383,854.51
Payout Ratio	38.48%	48.78%	59.09%	69.39%	79.70%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	150,800.05	189,266.71	226,948.96	263,858.64	300,007.43	335,406.85	355,065.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.81%	7.81%	7.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	173,781.03	175,554.31	177,327.58
Year 2 PV (M)	191,330.61	195,255.24	199,219.71
Year 3 PV (M)	204,247.01	210,563.49	217,008.87
Year 4 PV (M)	213,228.14	222,065.45	231,174.66
Year 5 PV (M)	218,883.28	230,281.04	242,148.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,816,381.87	5,067,182.05	5,328,322.89
Equity Value (M)	5,817,851.95	6,100,901.58	6,395,202.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	18,850.00	18,850.00	18,850.00
Fair Value	$308.64	$323.66	$339.27
Upside / Downside	40.29%	47.12%	54.21%

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PT Palma Serasih Tbk (PSGO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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