DDM Analysis: PRMW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.73 - $31.54	$19.05
Multi-Stage	$10.32 - $11.26	$10.78
Blended Fair Value	$14.92
Current Price	$24.98
Upside	-40.29%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2022	2021	2019	2018	2017	2016	2016	2015
DPS	9.53%	9.17%	0.33	0.27	0.24	0.26	0.21	0.21	0.21	0.19	0.14	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	20.75%	13.08%	-7.52%	25.37%	-0.43%	0.00%	6.37%	35.83%	6.33%	-0.73%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.79%	1.76%	1.65%	1.55%	2.35%	1.34%	1.77%	1.44%	1.33%	2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	93.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	57.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)	36.11

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.65	11.66	7.00
Cash Retained (M)	36.11	36.11	36.11
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.65	-11.66	-7.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	17.46	24.45	29.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	161.10	161.10	161.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.35	0.35	0.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.46	0.51	0.54
WACC / Discount Rate	8.57%	8.57%	8.57%
Growth Rate	4.75%	5.75%	6.75%
Fair Value	$12.73	$19.05	$31.54
Upside / Downside	-49.06%	-23.75%	26.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	93.27	98.63	104.31	110.31	116.66	123.37	127.07
Payout Ratio	61.28%	67.03%	72.77%	78.51%	84.26%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	57.16	66.11	75.91	86.61	98.29	111.03	117.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.57%	8.57%	8.57%
Growth Rate	4.75%	5.75%	6.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	60.32	60.90	61.47
Year 2 PV (M)	63.19	64.40	65.62
Year 3 PV (M)	65.78	67.68	69.62
Year 4 PV (M)	68.11	70.75	73.47
Year 5 PV (M)	70.20	73.62	77.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,335.05	1,400.00	1,467.46
Equity Value (M)	1,662.65	1,737.35	1,814.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	161.10	161.10	161.10
Fair Value	$10.32	$10.78	$11.26
Upside / Downside	-58.69%	-56.83%	-54.90%

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Primo Water Corporation (PRMW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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