DDM Analysis: PRDA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9,134.45 - $40,859.82	$21,312.18
Multi-Stage	$4,927.87 - $5,378.41	$5,149.07
Blended Fair Value	$13,230.62
Current Price	$2,650.00
Upside	399.27%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.14%	10.37%	167.73	240.38	402.07	173.83	113.33	94.57	65.02	28.50	80.85	107.80
YoY Growth	-	-	-30.22%	-40.21%	131.30%	53.38%	19.84%	45.44%	128.14%	-64.75%	-25.00%	72.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.48%	6.21%	6.84%	2.17%	2.83%	3.21%	2.24%	0.78%	1.60%	1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	190,589.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	162,118.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28,471.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	38,117.80	23,823.63	14,294.18
Cash Retained (M)	28,471.00	28,471.00	28,471.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-38,117.80	-23,823.63	-14,294.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-9,646.80	4,647.38	14,176.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	927.64	927.64	927.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-10.40	5.01	15.28
LTM Dividend per Share	174.76	174.76	174.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-10.40	5.01	15.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	164.36	179.77	190.05
WACC / Discount Rate	7.40%	7.40%	7.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$9,134.45	$21,312.18	$40,859.82
Upside / Downside	244.70%	704.23%	1,441.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	190,589.00	202,977.29	216,170.81	230,221.91	245,186.34	261,123.45	268,957.15
Payout Ratio	85.06%	86.05%	87.04%	88.02%	89.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	162,118.00	174,660.45	188,148.46	202,651.98	218,246.03	235,011.10	248,785.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.40%	7.40%	7.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	161,101.58	162,628.61	164,155.64
Year 2 PV (M)	160,070.45	163,119.34	166,196.99
Year 3 PV (M)	159,025.43	163,590.48	168,242.06
Year 4 PV (M)	157,967.34	164,042.32	170,290.86
Year 5 PV (M)	156,896.98	164,475.16	172,343.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,776,253.39	3,958,647.84	4,148,022.96
Equity Value (M)	4,571,315.16	4,776,503.74	4,989,251.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	927.64	927.64	927.64
Fair Value	$4,927.87	$5,149.07	$5,378.41
Upside / Downside	85.96%	94.30%	102.96%

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PT Prodia Widyahusada Tbk (PRDA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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