DDM Analysis: PPL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.80 - $21.34	$17.30
Multi-Stage	$27.06 - $29.70	$28.35
Blended Fair Value	$22.82
Current Price	$33.89
Upside	-32.65%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-8.92%	-2.55%	1.01	0.95	1.06	1.72	1.72	1.61	1.53	1.44	1.39	1.35
YoY Growth	-	-	6.11%	-10.55%	-38.47%	0.31%	6.96%	5.21%	5.69%	4.08%	2.59%	3.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.79%	3.45%	3.81%	6.03%	5.96%	6.51%	4.82%	5.10%	3.71%	3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,092.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	783.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	309.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	218.40	136.50	81.90
Cash Retained (M)	309.00	309.00	309.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-218.40	-136.50	-81.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	90.60	172.50	227.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	742.32	742.32	742.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.23	0.31
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.23	0.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.29	1.36
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	-1.25%	-0.25%	0.75%
Fair Value	$13.80	$17.30	$21.34
Upside / Downside	-59.29%	-48.96%	-37.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,092.00	1,089.28	1,086.57	1,083.86	1,081.16	1,078.47	1,110.83
Payout Ratio	71.70%	75.36%	79.02%	82.68%	86.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	783.00	820.91	858.63	896.15	933.48	970.62	1,027.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	-1.25%	-0.25%	0.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	758.28	765.96	773.64
Year 2 PV (M)	732.62	747.53	762.59
Year 3 PV (M)	706.30	727.97	750.09
Year 4 PV (M)	679.59	707.54	736.34
Year 5 PV (M)	652.72	686.45	721.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,555.23	17,410.61	18,300.98
Equity Value (M)	20,084.74	21,046.06	22,045.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	742.32	742.32	742.32
Fair Value	$27.06	$28.35	$29.70
Upside / Downside	-20.16%	-16.34%	-12.37%

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PPL Corporation (PPL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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