DDM Analysis: POWL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$186.57 - $320.36	$244.35
Multi-Stage	$186.57 - $204.32	$195.28
Blended Fair Value	$219.82
Current Price	$210.45
Upside	4.45%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	1.30%	0.41%	1.06	1.04	1.02	1.00	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.98	0.97
YoY Growth	-	-	1.71%	1.98%	1.42%	0.75%	0.63%	0.57%	0.69%	0.35%	0.25%	-4.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.50%	0.47%	1.15%	2.86%	3.38%	3.36%	2.01%	3.91%	3.40%	2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	175.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	12.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	162.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	35.08	21.92	13.15
Cash Retained (M)	162.56	162.56	162.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-35.08	-21.92	-13.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	127.49	140.64	149.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12.17	12.17	12.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.47	11.55	12.27
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.47	11.55	12.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	11.52	12.60	13.33
WACC / Discount Rate	9.63%	9.63%	9.63%
Growth Rate	3.25%	4.25%	5.25%
Fair Value	$186.57	$244.35	$320.36
Upside / Downside	-11.35%	16.11%	52.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	175.38	182.84	190.61	198.72	207.17	215.98	222.46
Payout Ratio	7.31%	23.85%	40.39%	56.92%	73.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	12.82	43.60	76.98	113.12	152.19	194.38	205.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.63%	9.63%	9.63%
Growth Rate	3.25%	4.25%	5.25%
Year 1 PV (M)	39.39	39.77	40.15
Year 2 PV (M)	62.83	64.05	65.28
Year 3 PV (M)	83.40	85.85	88.34
Year 4 PV (M)	101.37	105.36	109.46
Year 5 PV (M)	116.97	122.74	128.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,867.49	1,959.69	2,055.50
Equity Value (M)	2,271.45	2,377.46	2,487.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	12.17	12.17	12.17
Fair Value	$186.57	$195.28	$204.32
Upside / Downside	-11.35%	-7.21%	-2.91%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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