DDM Analysis: POMO3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$62.04 - $202.17	$189.46
Multi-Stage	$27.14 - $29.67	$28.39
Blended Fair Value	$108.92
Current Price	$8.91
Upside	1,122.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	51.56%	18.46%	0.56	0.29	0.08	0.01	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.01	0.10	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	97.55%	278.05%	436.82%	-76.36%	-15.61%	144.64%	97.72%	-85.53%	36.23%	-28.68%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.20%	4.09%	3.28%	0.79%	3.30%	4.46%	1.22%	0.62%	6.45%	5.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,197.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	697.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	499.12

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	239.41	149.63	89.78
Cash Retained (M)	499.12	499.12	499.12
(-) Cash Required (M)	-239.41	-149.63	-89.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	259.71	349.49	409.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,177.56	1,177.56	1,177.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.22	0.30	0.35
LTM Dividend per Share	0.59	0.59	0.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.22	0.30	0.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.89	0.94
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$62.04	$189.46	$202.17
Upside / Downside	596.32%	2,026.41%	2,169.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,197.07	1,274.88	1,357.75	1,446.00	1,539.99	1,640.09	1,689.30
Payout Ratio	58.30%	64.64%	70.98%	77.32%	83.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	697.95	824.13	963.77	1,118.08	1,288.37	1,476.08	1,562.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	763.82	771.06	778.30
Year 2 PV (M)	827.87	843.64	859.56
Year 3 PV (M)	890.14	915.69	941.73
Year 4 PV (M)	950.65	987.21	1,024.81
Year 5 PV (M)	1,009.45	1,058.21	1,108.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	27,520.99	28,850.26	30,230.41
Equity Value (M)	31,962.91	33,426.07	34,943.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,177.56	1,177.56	1,177.56
Fair Value	$27.14	$28.39	$29.67
Upside / Downside	204.64%	218.58%	233.05%

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Marcopolo S.A. (POMO3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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