Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$555.55 - $1,232.91$801.36
Multi-Stage$402.42 - $439.43$420.59
Blended Fair Value$610.97
Current Price$758.15
Upside-19.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.66%9.72%6.646.035.434.393.663.503.182.822.662.64
YoY Growth--10.10%11.08%23.55%19.93%4.70%10.03%12.92%5.76%1.00%0.46%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.95%1.39%1.81%1.31%1.73%1.76%1.52%1.52%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,640.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)879.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,761.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)728.12455.07273.04
Cash Retained (M)2,761.522,761.522,761.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-728.12-455.07-273.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,033.402,306.442,488.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
LTM Dividend per Share6.786.786.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.4524.5625.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$555.55$801.36$1,232.91
Upside / Downside-26.72%5.70%62.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,640.583,877.224,129.244,397.644,683.484,987.915,137.55
Payout Ratio24.15%37.32%50.49%63.66%76.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)879.061,446.862,084.762,799.473,598.294,489.124,752.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,305.791,318.161,330.54
Year 2 PV (M)1,698.041,730.381,763.03
Year 3 PV (M)2,057.842,116.922,177.11
Year 4 PV (M)2,387.142,478.942,573.37
Year 5 PV (M)2,687.752,817.572,952.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,069.1144,101.0646,210.79
Equity Value (M)52,205.6654,563.0357,007.18
Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
Fair Value$402.42$420.59$439.43
Upside / Downside-46.92%-44.52%-42.04%

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