DDM Analysis: PG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$104.01 - $195.99	$141.33
Multi-Stage	$153.82 - $168.67	$161.10
Blended Fair Value	$151.22
Current Price	$153.65
Upside	-1.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.85%	3.08%	4.03	3.80	3.67	3.58	3.37	3.18	3.06	2.98	2.95	3.04
YoY Growth	-	-	6.01%	3.48%	2.61%	6.14%	6.09%	3.88%	2.57%	1.02%	-2.69%	2.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.62%	2.19%	2.52%	2.84%	2.41%	2.29%	2.46%	3.57%	3.25%	3.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16,765.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,976.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,789.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,353.00	2,095.63	1,257.38
Cash Retained (M)	6,789.00	6,789.00	6,789.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,353.00	-2,095.63	-1,257.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,436.00	4,693.38	5,531.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,449.78	2,449.78	2,449.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.40	1.92	2.26
LTM Dividend per Share	4.07	4.07	4.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.40	1.92	2.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.47	5.99	6.33
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	1.50%	2.50%	3.50%
Fair Value	$104.01	$141.33	$195.99
Upside / Downside	-32.31%	-8.02%	27.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16,765.00	17,184.85	17,615.22	18,056.36	18,508.56	18,972.07	19,541.23
Payout Ratio	59.50%	65.60%	71.70%	77.80%	83.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,976.00	11,273.94	12,630.63	14,048.21	15,528.86	17,074.86	18,075.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	1.50%	2.50%	3.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,448.50	10,551.43	10,654.37
Year 2 PV (M)	10,848.79	11,063.60	11,280.52
Year 3 PV (M)	11,182.92	11,516.70	11,857.06
Year 4 PV (M)	11,456.50	11,914.68	12,386.48
Year 5 PV (M)	11,674.75	12,261.28	12,871.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)	321,224.37	337,362.42	354,142.65
Equity Value (M)	376,835.83	394,670.12	413,192.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,449.78	2,449.78	2,449.78
Fair Value	$153.82	$161.10	$168.67
Upside / Downside	0.11%	4.85%	9.77%

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The Procter & Gamble Company (PG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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