Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

PIMCO Income Strategy Fund (PFL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.40 - $26.36$21.61
Multi-Stage$37.23 - $40.87$39.02
Blended Fair Value$30.31
Current Price$8.34
Upside263.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.78%0.00%0.900.800.750.740.750.680.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.23%6.22%1.41%-0.91%10.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.75%9.79%9.19%8.25%6.00%6.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.2810.806.48
Cash Retained (M)13.3313.3313.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.28-10.80-6.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.952.536.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.0743.0743.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.090.060.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.701.701.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.090.060.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.761.86
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.40$21.61$26.36
Upside / Downside108.60%159.16%216.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86.4085.5384.6883.8382.9982.1684.63
Payout Ratio84.57%85.65%86.74%87.83%88.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.0673.2673.4573.6373.7973.9578.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)67.7568.4469.14
Year 2 PV (M)62.8264.1165.41
Year 3 PV (M)58.2360.0361.87
Year 4 PV (M)53.9756.2158.52
Year 5 PV (M)50.0252.6255.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,310.721,378.971,450.04
Equity Value (M)1,603.521,680.391,760.31
Shares Outstanding (M)43.0743.0743.07
Fair Value$37.23$39.02$40.87
Upside / Downside346.42%367.82%390.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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