DDM Analysis: PCSGH.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.92 - $4.24	$3.56
Multi-Stage	$7.65 - $8.43	$8.03
Blended Fair Value	$5.80
Current Price	$3.20
Upside	81.14%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.45%	-2.20%	0.30	0.40	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.20	0.27	0.28	0.24	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	-25.00%	33.33%	-25.00%	100.00%	0.00%	-25.93%	-3.57%	16.67%	-40.00%	6.71%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.58%	8.01%	5.83%	7.77%	3.85%	4.43%	3.97%	3.92%	3.97%	7.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	623.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	381.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	242.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	124.78	77.99	46.79
Cash Retained (M)	242.64	242.64	242.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-124.78	-77.99	-46.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	117.86	164.65	195.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,523.55	1,523.55	1,523.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.11	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.11	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.33	0.36	0.38
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	-4.20%	-3.20%	-2.20%
Fair Value	$2.92	$3.56	$4.24
Upside / Downside	-8.63%	11.35%	32.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	623.89	603.95	584.64	565.96	547.87	530.35	546.26
Payout Ratio	61.11%	66.89%	72.67%	78.44%	84.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	381.25	403.96	424.83	443.96	461.42	477.32	505.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	-4.20%	-3.20%	-2.20%
Year 1 PV (M)	375.26	379.17	383.09
Year 2 PV (M)	366.60	374.29	382.07
Year 3 PV (M)	355.88	367.14	378.63
Year 4 PV (M)	343.60	358.17	373.20
Year 5 PV (M)	330.17	347.77	366.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,880.22	10,406.75	10,955.49
Equity Value (M)	11,651.73	12,233.29	12,838.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,523.55	1,523.55	1,523.55
Fair Value	$7.65	$8.03	$8.43
Upside / Downside	138.99%	150.92%	163.34%

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P.C.S. Machine Group Holding Public Company Limited (PCSGH.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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