DDM Analysis: PCG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.55 - $14.06	$11.71
Multi-Stage	$16.60 - $18.28	$17.43
Blended Fair Value	$14.57
Current Price	$15.08
Upside	-3.39%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	-20.27%	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.46	0.42	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	10.86%	7.59%	3.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.23%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.05%	0.63%	0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,707.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	188.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,519.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	541.40	338.38	203.03
Cash Retained (M)	2,519.00	2,519.00	2,519.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-541.40	-338.38	-203.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,977.60	2,180.63	2,315.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,207.75	2,207.75	2,207.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.90	0.99	1.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.09	0.09	0.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.90	0.99	1.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.07	1.13
WACC / Discount Rate	8.07%	8.07%	8.07%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$9.55	$11.71	$14.06
Upside / Downside	-36.69%	-22.34%	-6.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,707.00	2,679.93	2,653.13	2,626.60	2,600.33	2,574.33	2,651.56
Payout Ratio	6.94%	23.56%	40.17%	56.78%	73.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	188.00	631.28	1,065.68	1,491.33	1,908.36	2,316.90	2,452.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.07%	8.07%	8.07%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	578.25	584.15	590.05
Year 2 PV (M)	894.14	912.48	931.00
Year 3 PV (M)	1,146.14	1,181.58	1,217.75
Year 4 PV (M)	1,343.42	1,399.10	1,456.49
Year 5 PV (M)	1,493.98	1,571.78	1,652.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31,197.23	32,821.74	34,513.23
Equity Value (M)	36,653.15	38,470.82	40,361.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,207.75	2,207.75	2,207.75
Fair Value	$16.60	$17.43	$18.28
Upside / Downside	10.09%	15.55%	21.23%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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