DDM Analysis: PANR.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5,043.75 - $11,670.28	$7,380.60
Multi-Stage	$5,904.24 - $6,478.12	$6,185.77
Blended Fair Value	$6,783.18
Current Price	$885.00
Upside	666.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.53	5.25
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-32.78%	-25.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.53%	1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	347,296.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	83,250.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	264,046.93

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	69,459.39	43,412.12	26,047.27
Cash Retained (M)	264,046.93	264,046.93	264,046.93
(-) Cash Required (M)	-69,459.39	-43,412.12	-26,047.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)	194,587.54	220,634.81	237,999.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,387.50	1,387.50	1,387.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	140.24	159.02	171.53
LTM Dividend per Share	60.00	60.00	60.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	140.24	159.02	171.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	200.24	219.02	231.53
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	2.69%	3.69%	4.69%
Fair Value	$5,043.75	$7,380.60	$11,670.28
Upside / Downside	469.92%	733.97%	1,218.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	347,296.93	360,122.85	373,422.44	387,213.20	401,513.25	416,341.42	428,831.66
Payout Ratio	23.97%	37.18%	50.38%	63.59%	76.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	83,250.00	133,881.70	188,139.58	246,222.43	308,338.76	374,707.28	396,669.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	2.69%	3.69%	4.69%
Year 1 PV (M)	124,183.21	125,392.48	126,601.75
Year 2 PV (M)	161,868.95	165,036.78	168,235.30
Year 3 PV (M)	196,495.53	202,291.88	208,201.12
Year 4 PV (M)	228,241.63	237,262.58	246,548.32
Year 5 PV (M)	257,276.75	270,049.59	283,324.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,224,072.52	7,582,720.96	7,955,474.47
Equity Value (M)	8,192,138.60	8,582,754.26	8,988,385.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,387.50	1,387.50	1,387.50
Fair Value	$5,904.24	$6,185.77	$6,478.12
Upside / Downside	567.15%	598.96%	631.99%

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Financial Statements

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PT Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk (PANR.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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