DDM Analysis: OZK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$137.19 - $331.89	$203.73
Multi-Stage	$96.84 - $105.76	$101.22
Blended Fair Value	$152.47
Current Price	$50.98
Upside	199.08%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.18%	17.38%	1.58	1.43	1.34	1.29	1.22	1.06	0.90	0.78	0.55	0.41
YoY Growth	-	-	10.11%	7.06%	3.91%	5.21%	14.97%	18.50%	15.20%	42.72%	32.06%	30.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.63%	3.19%	3.91%	3.01%	2.99%	6.37%	2.98%	1.61%	1.05%	0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	721.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	192.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	529.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	144.34	90.21	54.13
Cash Retained (M)	529.09	529.09	529.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-144.34	-90.21	-54.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	384.75	438.88	474.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	113.89	113.89	113.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.38	3.85	4.17
LTM Dividend per Share	1.69	1.69	1.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.38	3.85	4.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.07	5.54	5.86
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$137.19	$203.73	$331.89
Upside / Downside	169.10%	299.62%	551.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	721.70	768.61	818.57	871.77	928.44	988.79	1,018.45
Payout Ratio	26.69%	39.35%	52.01%	64.68%	77.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	192.61	302.45	425.76	563.82	718.03	889.91	942.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	273.87	276.47	279.06
Year 2 PV (M)	349.10	355.75	362.46
Year 3 PV (M)	418.62	430.63	442.88
Year 4 PV (M)	482.74	501.30	520.40
Year 5 PV (M)	541.75	567.92	595.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,963.00	9,395.92	9,845.40
Equity Value (M)	11,029.08	11,527.99	12,045.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	113.89	113.89	113.89
Fair Value	$96.84	$101.22	$105.76
Upside / Downside	89.96%	98.55%	107.46%

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MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
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300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
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Bank OZK (OZK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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