DDM Analysis: OTIS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.05 - $38.25	$31.92
Multi-Stage	$47.02 - $51.64	$49.29
Blended Fair Value	$40.60
Current Price	$91.43
Upside	-55.59%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.52	1.35	1.17	0.99	0.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	12.43%	15.91%	18.32%	51.15%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.47%	1.37%	1.38%	1.28%	0.95%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,347.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	639.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	708.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	269.40	168.38	101.03
Cash Retained (M)	708.00	708.00	708.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-269.40	-168.38	-101.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	438.60	539.63	606.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	398.40	398.40	398.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.10	1.35	1.52
LTM Dividend per Share	1.60	1.60	1.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.10	1.35	1.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.70	2.96	3.13
WACC / Discount Rate	8.18%	8.18%	8.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$26.05	$31.92	$38.25
Upside / Downside	-71.51%	-65.09%	-58.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,347.00	1,333.53	1,320.19	1,306.99	1,293.92	1,280.98	1,319.41
Payout Ratio	47.44%	55.95%	64.46%	72.98%	81.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	639.00	746.12	851.04	953.78	1,054.39	1,152.89	1,220.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.18%	8.18%	8.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	682.76	689.73	696.70
Year 2 PV (M)	712.64	727.26	742.02
Year 3 PV (M)	730.85	753.45	776.52
Year 4 PV (M)	739.33	769.97	801.56
Year 5 PV (M)	739.75	778.27	818.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,129.25	15,917.06	16,737.36
Equity Value (M)	18,734.58	19,635.74	20,572.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	398.40	398.40	398.40
Fair Value	$47.02	$49.29	$51.64
Upside / Downside	-48.57%	-46.09%	-43.52%

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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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