DDM Analysis: OBS.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.35 - $134.09	$125.67
Multi-Stage	$17.33 - $18.96	$18.13
Blended Fair Value	$71.90
Current Price	$7.00
Upside	927.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.73%	4.93%	0.10	0.15	0.20	0.20	0.00	0.15	0.12	0.11	0.09	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-33.31%	-25.03%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	19.80%	16.68%	19.46%	24.52%	16.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.74%	2.63%	2.90%	2.61%	0.00%	2.14%	2.57%	2.15%	2.23%	2.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.49

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.28	0.80	0.48
Cash Retained (M)	4.49	4.49	4.49
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.28	-0.80	-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.21	3.69	4.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.47	9.47	9.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.39	0.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.39	0.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.54	0.59	0.62
WACC / Discount Rate	6.95%	6.95%	6.95%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$39.35	$125.67	$134.09
Upside / Downside	462.16%	1,695.23%	1,815.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.39	6.80	7.24	7.71	8.21	8.75	9.01
Payout Ratio	29.66%	41.73%	53.80%	65.87%	77.93%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.89	2.84	3.90	5.08	6.40	7.87	8.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.95%	6.95%	6.95%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.63	2.65	2.68
Year 2 PV (M)	3.34	3.41	3.47
Year 3 PV (M)	4.04	4.15	4.27
Year 4 PV (M)	4.71	4.89	5.08
Year 5 PV (M)	5.37	5.63	5.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	144.01	150.97	158.19
Equity Value (M)	164.10	171.70	179.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.47	9.47	9.47
Fair Value	$17.33	$18.13	$18.96
Upside / Downside	147.56%	159.03%	170.92%

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Orbis AG (OBS.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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