DDM Analysis: NYT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$63.89 - $288.14	$111.86
Multi-Stage	$39.26 - $42.92	$41.06
Blended Fair Value	$76.46
Current Price	$55.98
Upside	36.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.26%	12.79%	0.50	0.42	0.34	0.27	0.23	0.19	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.16
YoY Growth	-	-	19.28%	22.32%	25.26%	17.95%	21.62%	19.63%	1.59%	0.41%	-2.64%	7.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.01%	0.98%	0.89%	0.58%	0.48%	0.60%	0.48%	0.67%	1.10%	1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	337.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	102.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	235.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	67.57	42.23	25.34
Cash Retained (M)	235.44	235.44	235.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-67.57	-42.23	-25.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	167.87	193.21	210.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	164.86	164.86	164.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.02	1.17	1.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.02	1.17	1.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.64	1.79	1.90
WACC / Discount Rate	8.21%	8.21%	8.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$63.89	$111.86	$288.14
Upside / Downside	14.13%	99.82%	414.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	337.87	359.83	383.22	408.13	434.66	462.91	476.80
Payout Ratio	30.32%	42.25%	54.19%	66.13%	78.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	102.43	152.04	207.66	269.88	339.31	416.62	441.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.21%	8.21%	8.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	139.19	140.51	141.83
Year 2 PV (M)	174.04	177.36	180.70
Year 3 PV (M)	207.07	213.01	219.07
Year 4 PV (M)	238.33	247.49	256.92
Year 5 PV (M)	267.90	280.84	294.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,446.25	5,709.31	5,982.43
Equity Value (M)	6,472.77	6,768.51	7,075.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	164.86	164.86	164.86
Fair Value	$39.26	$41.06	$42.92
Upside / Downside	-29.87%	-26.66%	-23.34%

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The New York Times Company (NYT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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