DDM Analysis: NKNC.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$676.47 - $2,904.73	$1,172.18
Multi-Stage	$409.11 - $447.71	$428.06
Blended Fair Value	$800.12
Current Price	$85.35
Upside	837.45%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	9.05	19.95	0.01	0.06	4.36	1.52	1.00	2.80	0.79
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-54.65%	145,984.00%	-77.88%	-98.58%	186.88%	52.02%	-64.29%	253.20%	158.65%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	8.86%	21.82%	0.01%	0.09%	8.42%	2.00%	2.24%	13.40%	2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40,432.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,727.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37,705.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8,086.51	5,054.07	3,032.44
Cash Retained (M)	37,705.53	37,705.53	37,705.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8,086.51	-5,054.07	-3,032.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29,619.03	32,651.47	34,673.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,830.24	1,830.24	1,830.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.18	17.84	18.94
LTM Dividend per Share	1.49	1.49	1.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.18	17.84	18.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.67	19.33	20.43
WACC / Discount Rate	8.26%	8.26%	8.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$676.47	$1,172.18	$2,904.73
Upside / Downside	692.58%	1,273.38%	3,303.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40,432.53	43,060.65	45,859.59	48,840.46	52,015.09	55,396.07	57,057.96
Payout Ratio	6.74%	23.40%	40.05%	56.70%	73.35%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,727.00	10,074.32	18,365.27	27,691.48	38,152.50	49,856.47	52,778.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.26%	8.26%	8.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	9,218.61	9,305.99	9,393.37
Year 2 PV (M)	15,377.90	15,670.81	15,966.48
Year 3 PV (M)	21,217.57	21,826.66	22,447.28
Year 4 PV (M)	26,749.92	27,778.65	28,836.76
Year 5 PV (M)	31,986.80	33,531.77	35,135.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	644,214.99	675,330.81	707,637.51
Equity Value (M)	748,765.79	783,444.68	819,417.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,830.24	1,830.24	1,830.24
Fair Value	$409.11	$428.06	$447.71
Upside / Downside	379.33%	401.53%	424.56%

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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
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PJSC Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNC.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener