Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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North East Rubber Public Company Limited (NER.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.22 - $202.66$189.92
Multi-Stage$29.95 - $32.78$31.34
Blended Fair Value$110.63
Current Price$4.08
Upside2,611.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.70%0.00%0.340.360.410.250.120.110.000.060.000.13
YoY Growth---5.56%-12.84%68.01%110.69%7.69%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.23%6.00%6.94%3.44%2.16%6.26%0.00%2.48%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,882.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)665.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,217.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)376.59235.37141.22
Cash Retained (M)1,217.761,217.761,217.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-376.59-235.37-141.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)841.17982.391,076.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,847.791,847.791,847.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.530.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.530.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.22$189.92$202.66
Upside / Downside2,037.72%4,554.91%4,867.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,882.942,005.332,135.682,274.492,422.342,579.792,657.18
Payout Ratio35.33%46.26%57.20%68.13%79.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)665.18927.691,221.521,549.631,915.232,321.812,457.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)863.01871.19879.37
Year 2 PV (M)1,057.111,077.251,097.57
Year 3 PV (M)1,247.551,283.361,319.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,434.371,489.531,546.27
Year 5 PV (M)1,617.621,695.751,776.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,121.8551,494.4653,957.87
Equity Value (M)55,341.5157,911.5360,577.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,847.791,847.791,847.79
Fair Value$29.95$31.34$32.78
Upside / Downside634.07%668.16%703.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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