DDM Analysis: MTCH

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$14.95 - $21.48	$18.14
Multi-Stage	$20.86 - $22.87	$21.84
Blended Fair Value	$19.99
Current Price	$35.32
Upside	-43.40%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.39	0.00	0.00	0.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	16.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.70%	0.00%	0.00%	3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	562.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	140.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)	421.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	112.42	70.26	42.16
Cash Retained (M)	421.20	421.20	421.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-112.42	-70.26	-42.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)	308.78	350.94	379.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	267.14	267.14	267.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.16	1.31	1.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.53	0.53	0.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.16	1.31	1.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.68	1.84	1.95
WACC / Discount Rate	10.29%	10.29%	10.29%
Growth Rate	-0.87%	0.13%	1.13%
Fair Value	$14.95	$18.14	$21.48
Upside / Downside	-57.68%	-48.64%	-39.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	562.09	562.82	563.56	564.29	565.02	565.76	582.73
Payout Ratio	25.07%	38.05%	51.04%	64.03%	77.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	140.89	214.17	287.64	361.29	435.14	509.18	539.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.29%	10.29%	10.29%
Growth Rate	-0.87%	0.13%	1.13%
Year 1 PV (M)	192.24	194.18	196.12
Year 2 PV (M)	231.76	236.46	241.20
Year 3 PV (M)	261.31	269.29	277.44
Year 4 PV (M)	282.50	294.07	306.00
Year 5 PV (M)	296.73	312.00	327.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,307.59	4,529.29	4,760.02
Equity Value (M)	5,572.12	5,835.29	6,108.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	267.14	267.14	267.14
Fair Value	$20.86	$21.84	$22.87
Upside / Downside	-40.95%	-38.16%	-35.26%

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Match Group, Inc. (MTCH)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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