DDM Analysis: MSTI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,495.99 - $2,282.27	$1,864.17
Multi-Stage	$3,258.25 - $3,580.62	$3,416.29
Blended Fair Value	$2,640.23
Current Price	$1,565.00
Upside	68.71%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	99.83	111.49	52.56	127.42	27.55	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.46%	112.12%	-58.75%	362.43%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.11%	7.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	528,628.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	370,451.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)	158,177.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	105,725.75	66,078.59	39,647.15
Cash Retained (M)	158,177.62	158,177.62	158,177.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-105,725.75	-66,078.59	-39,647.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	52,451.87	92,099.03	118,530.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,139.27	3,139.27	3,139.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.71	29.34	37.76
LTM Dividend per Share	118.01	118.01	118.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.71	29.34	37.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	134.71	147.34	155.76
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1,495.99	$1,864.17	$2,282.27
Upside / Downside	-4.41%	19.12%	45.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	528,628.73	523,342.44	518,109.02	512,927.93	507,798.65	502,720.66	517,802.28
Payout Ratio	70.08%	74.06%	78.05%	82.03%	86.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	370,451.11	387,598.92	404,366.73	420,760.42	436,785.80	452,448.60	478,967.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	359,170.73	362,835.73	366,500.74
Year 2 PV (M)	347,225.94	354,348.34	361,543.05
Year 3 PV (M)	334,803.51	345,157.54	355,722.86
Year 4 PV (M)	322,063.87	335,411.92	349,170.63
Year 5 PV (M)	309,144.21	325,242.07	342,003.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,556,126.01	9,001,663.34	9,465,570.48
Equity Value (M)	10,228,534.27	10,724,658.93	11,240,511.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,139.27	3,139.27	3,139.27
Fair Value	$3,258.25	$3,416.29	$3,580.62
Upside / Downside	108.20%	118.29%	128.79%

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Financial Statements

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Mastersystem Infotama Tbk. (MSTI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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