DDM Analysis: MQG.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$181.23 - $282.01	$227.78
Multi-Stage	$372.64 - $409.33	$390.63
Blended Fair Value	$309.20
Current Price	$196.64
Upside	57.24%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.61%	10.82%	5.78	7.03	5.31	4.52	2.27	5.61	4.85	4.39	3.90	3.24
YoY Growth	-	-	-17.84%	32.44%	17.48%	98.72%	-59.43%	15.64%	10.34%	12.59%	20.28%	56.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.94%	3.55%	3.02%	2.22%	1.49%	6.54%	3.71%	4.27%	4.33%	4.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	7,189.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,849.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,340.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,437.80	898.63	539.18
Cash Retained (M)	2,340.00	2,340.00	2,340.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,437.80	-898.63	-539.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	902.20	1,441.38	1,800.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	378.47	378.47	378.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.38	3.81	4.76
LTM Dividend per Share	12.81	12.81	12.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.38	3.81	4.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	15.20	16.62	17.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-1.39%	-0.39%	0.61%
Fair Value	$181.23	$227.78	$282.01
Upside / Downside	-7.84%	15.83%	43.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	7,189.00	7,160.62	7,132.36	7,104.20	7,076.16	7,048.23	7,259.67
Payout Ratio	67.45%	71.96%	76.47%	80.98%	85.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,849.00	5,152.80	5,454.12	5,752.99	6,049.41	6,343.40	6,715.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-1.39%	-0.39%	0.61%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,773.00	4,821.41	4,869.82
Year 2 PV (M)	4,679.75	4,775.15	4,871.51
Year 3 PV (M)	4,572.35	4,712.88	4,856.25
Year 4 PV (M)	4,453.56	4,636.99	4,826.03
Year 5 PV (M)	4,325.79	4,549.63	4,782.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)	118,228.62	124,346.50	130,715.06
Equity Value (M)	141,033.08	147,842.56	154,921.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	378.47	378.47	378.47
Fair Value	$372.64	$390.63	$409.33
Upside / Downside	89.50%	98.65%	108.16%

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Macquarie Group Limited (MQG.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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