DDM Analysis: MPMX.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$932.89 - $1,363.39	$1,140.68
Multi-Stage	$2,170.66 - $2,383.42	$2,274.96
Blended Fair Value	$1,707.82
Current Price	$935.00
Upside	82.65%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.61%	0.00%	114.91	134.65	179.00	113.37	88.61	471.76	0.00	125.78	26.46	6.97
YoY Growth	-	-	-14.66%	-24.78%	57.89%	27.95%	-81.22%	0.00%	-100.00%	375.39%	279.75%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.61%	13.07%	14.61%	10.08%	15.68%	102.56%	0.00%	15.43%	3.09%	1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	548,368.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	525,579.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22,789.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	109,673.60	68,546.00	41,127.60
Cash Retained (M)	22,789.00	22,789.00	22,789.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-109,673.60	-68,546.00	-41,127.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-86,884.60	-45,757.00	-18,338.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,377.75	4,377.75	4,377.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-19.85	-10.45	-4.19
LTM Dividend per Share	120.06	120.06	120.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-19.85	-10.45	-4.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	100.21	109.60	115.87
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	-3.27%	-2.27%	-1.27%
Fair Value	$932.89	$1,140.68	$1,363.39
Upside / Downside	-0.23%	22.00%	45.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	548,368.00	535,915.96	523,746.67	511,853.71	500,230.82	488,871.85	503,538.00
Payout Ratio	95.84%	94.68%	93.51%	92.34%	91.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	525,579.00	507,380.42	489,737.33	472,633.87	456,054.65	439,984.66	465,772.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.12%	7.12%	7.12%
Growth Rate	-3.27%	-2.27%	-1.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	468,810.47	473,657.10	478,503.72
Year 2 PV (M)	418,109.86	426,799.50	435,578.51
Year 3 PV (M)	372,834.12	384,517.30	396,442.03
Year 4 PV (M)	332,407.86	346,368.40	360,764.13
Year 5 PV (M)	296,316.30	311,953.07	328,243.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,614,097.24	8,015,897.32	8,434,483.72
Equity Value (M)	9,502,575.85	9,959,192.68	10,434,015.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,377.75	4,377.75	4,377.75
Fair Value	$2,170.66	$2,274.96	$2,383.42
Upside / Downside	132.16%	143.31%	154.91%

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PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk (MPMX.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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