DDM Analysis: MIDI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$424.62 - $1,004.39	$625.90
Multi-Stage	$305.66 - $333.59	$319.37
Blended Fair Value	$472.64
Current Price	$434.00
Upside	8.90%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.58%	22.65%	4.65	3.59	2.47	1.80	1.83	1.43	0.92	1.77	1.29	1.25
YoY Growth	-	-	29.66%	45.20%	37.41%	-1.65%	27.71%	55.14%	-47.80%	36.67%	3.45%	107.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.37%	0.91%	0.72%	0.89%	0.96%	1.26%	0.91%	1.66%	1.50%	1.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	670,284.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	245,749.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	424,535.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	134,056.80	83,785.50	50,271.30
Cash Retained (M)	424,535.00	424,535.00	424,535.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-134,056.80	-83,785.50	-50,271.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	290,478.20	340,749.50	374,263.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33,435.30	33,435.30	33,435.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.69	10.19	11.19
LTM Dividend per Share	7.35	7.35	7.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.69	10.19	11.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.04	17.54	18.54
WACC / Discount Rate	9.48%	9.48%	9.48%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$424.62	$625.90	$1,004.39
Upside / Downside	-2.16%	44.22%	131.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	670,284.00	713,852.46	760,252.87	809,669.31	862,297.81	918,347.17	945,897.58
Payout Ratio	36.66%	47.33%	58.00%	68.67%	79.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	245,749.00	337,871.59	440,931.83	555,962.39	684,083.99	826,512.45	874,955.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.48%	9.48%	9.48%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	305,703.90	308,601.56	311,499.23
Year 2 PV (M)	360,969.12	367,844.57	374,784.88
Year 3 PV (M)	411,806.61	423,628.10	435,673.68
Year 4 PV (M)	458,465.46	476,096.75	494,231.75
Year 5 PV (M)	501,182.50	525,389.80	550,523.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,181,641.11	8,576,817.44	8,987,118.09
Equity Value (M)	10,219,768.69	10,678,378.21	11,153,831.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	33,435.30	33,435.30	33,435.30
Fair Value	$305.66	$319.37	$333.59
Upside / Downside	-29.57%	-26.41%	-23.13%

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PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk (MIDI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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