DDM Analysis: MICE.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$680.09 - $1,030.18	$844.81
Multi-Stage	$904.29 - $992.19	$947.40
Blended Fair Value	$896.11
Current Price	$478.00
Upside	87.47%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.12%	-0.08%	10.00	5.00	15.00	4.00	5.00	10.06	10.06	10.06	0.00	10.08
YoY Growth	-	-	100.00%	-66.67%	275.00%	-20.00%	-50.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.33%	0.98%	1.81%	1.06%	1.72%	3.05%	2.40%	2.89%	0.00%	2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	45,256.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,919.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	39,337.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,051.22	5,657.01	3,394.21
Cash Retained (M)	39,337.05	39,337.05	39,337.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,051.22	-5,657.01	-3,394.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30,285.83	33,680.04	35,942.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	591.90	591.90	591.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	51.17	56.90	60.72
LTM Dividend per Share	10.00	10.00	10.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	51.17	56.90	60.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend	61.17	66.90	70.72
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	0.40%	1.40%	2.40%
Fair Value	$680.09	$844.81	$1,030.18
Upside / Downside	42.28%	76.74%	115.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	45,256.09	45,891.73	46,536.29	47,189.91	47,852.70	48,524.81	49,980.55
Payout Ratio	13.08%	28.46%	43.85%	59.23%	74.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,919.04	13,062.25	20,404.95	27,951.33	35,705.68	43,672.33	46,232.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	0.40%	1.40%	2.40%
Year 1 PV (M)	11,818.39	11,936.10	12,053.81
Year 2 PV (M)	16,703.84	17,038.23	17,375.93
Year 3 PV (M)	20,702.55	21,327.31	21,964.51
Year 4 PV (M)	23,927.59	24,895.18	25,891.81
Year 5 PV (M)	26,479.42	27,824.59	29,223.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	435,621.10	457,750.84	480,770.95
Equity Value (M)	535,252.91	560,772.25	587,280.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	591.90	591.90	591.90
Fair Value	$904.29	$947.40	$992.19
Upside / Downside	89.18%	98.20%	107.57%

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Financial Statements

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PT Multi Indocitra Tbk (MICE.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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