DDM Analysis: MDKI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$83.79 - $118.70	$101.02
Multi-Stage	$133.97 - $146.60	$140.17
Blended Fair Value	$120.60
Current Price	$185.00
Upside	-34.81%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	12.00	10.00	10.00	12.00	9.00	12.00	10.36	14.62	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	20.00%	0.00%	-16.67%	33.34%	-25.00%	15.78%	-29.13%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.00%	4.95%	5.29%	6.00%	4.17%	6.98%	4.05%	5.95%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	32,363.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20,241.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	12,122.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,472.60	4,045.38	2,427.23
Cash Retained (M)	12,122.00	12,122.00	12,122.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,472.60	-4,045.38	-2,427.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5,649.40	8,076.63	9,694.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,530.15	2,530.15	2,530.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.23	3.19	3.83
LTM Dividend per Share	8.00	8.00	8.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.23	3.19	3.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.23	11.19	11.83
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$83.79	$101.02	$118.70
Upside / Downside	-54.71%	-45.39%	-35.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	32,363.00	32,039.37	31,718.98	31,401.79	31,087.77	30,776.89	31,700.20
Payout Ratio	62.54%	68.03%	73.53%	79.02%	84.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20,241.00	21,797.96	23,321.75	24,812.89	26,271.88	27,699.20	29,322.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	19,621.91	19,822.14	20,022.36
Year 2 PV (M)	18,897.84	19,285.48	19,677.06
Year 3 PV (M)	18,098.98	18,658.70	19,229.85
Year 4 PV (M)	17,250.17	17,965.10	18,702.04
Year 5 PV (M)	16,371.74	17,224.26	18,111.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	248,736.05	261,688.31	275,174.61
Equity Value (M)	338,976.69	354,644.00	370,917.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,530.15	2,530.15	2,530.15
Fair Value	$133.97	$140.17	$146.60
Upside / Downside	-27.58%	-24.23%	-20.76%

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603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
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NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
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4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
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603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Financial Statements

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PT Emdeki Utama Tbk (MDKI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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