DDM Analysis: MDIA3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$47.61 - $128.49	$73.19
Multi-Stage	$32.43 - $35.43	$33.90
Blended Fair Value	$53.54
Current Price	$28.74
Upside	86.30%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.80%	6.58%	0.65	0.21	1.93	0.66	0.25	0.41	0.39	0.52	0.41	0.57
YoY Growth	-	-	217.91%	-89.36%	195.15%	161.28%	-38.85%	5.01%	-24.91%	27.87%	-28.98%	65.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.88%	0.55%	7.96%	2.78%	0.91%	1.60%	1.05%	1.19%	1.11%	3.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	678.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	164.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	514.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	135.67	84.80	50.88
Cash Retained (M)	514.02	514.02	514.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-135.67	-84.80	-50.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	378.34	429.22	463.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	338.79	338.79	338.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.12	1.27	1.37
LTM Dividend per Share	0.49	0.49	0.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.12	1.27	1.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.60	1.75	1.85
WACC / Discount Rate	9.05%	9.05%	9.05%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$47.61	$73.19	$128.49
Upside / Downside	65.66%	154.65%	347.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	678.37	722.46	769.42	819.43	872.69	929.42	957.30
Payout Ratio	24.23%	37.38%	50.54%	63.69%	76.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	164.35	270.07	388.84	521.90	670.63	836.48	885.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.05%	9.05%	9.05%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	245.33	247.66	249.98
Year 2 PV (M)	320.87	326.98	333.15
Year 3 PV (M)	391.23	402.46	413.90
Year 4 PV (M)	456.66	474.23	492.29
Year 5 PV (M)	517.43	542.42	568.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,054.48	9,491.82	9,945.89
Equity Value (M)	10,986.00	11,485.55	12,003.58
Shares Outstanding (M)	338.79	338.79	338.79
Fair Value	$32.43	$33.90	$35.43
Upside / Downside	12.83%	17.96%	23.28%

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300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
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KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
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002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
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4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
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603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
SCANFL.HE	Scanfil Oyj	2.39%	$0.24	42.33%

Financial Statements

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M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos (MDIA3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener