DDM Analysis: MCS-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$216.31 - $432.72	$405.52
Multi-Stage	$66.64 - $72.96	$69.74
Blended Fair Value	$237.63
Current Price	$8.30
Upside	2,763.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.06%	9.51%	0.52	0.20	0.50	1.36	0.80	0.75	0.38	0.66	1.31	0.47
YoY Growth	-	-	159.98%	-59.98%	-63.52%	71.25%	6.67%	98.76%	-43.45%	-49.46%	180.04%	124.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.76%	2.95%	5.32%	9.95%	5.68%	10.51%	5.48%	6.64%	8.42%	4.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,043.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	357.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)	685.65

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	208.68	130.42	78.25
Cash Retained (M)	685.65	685.65	685.65
(-) Cash Required (M)	-208.68	-130.42	-78.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	476.97	555.23	607.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	479.54	479.54	479.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.99	1.16	1.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.75	0.75	0.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.99	1.16	1.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.74	1.90	2.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$216.31	$405.52	$432.72
Upside / Downside	2,506.20%	4,785.78%	5,113.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,043.39	1,111.21	1,183.44	1,260.36	1,342.28	1,429.53	1,472.42
Payout Ratio	34.29%	45.43%	56.57%	67.71%	78.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	357.74	504.81	669.49	853.45	1,058.49	1,286.58	1,361.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	470.22	474.67	479.13
Year 2 PV (M)	580.88	591.94	603.11
Year 3 PV (M)	689.74	709.54	729.71
Year 4 PV (M)	796.83	827.47	858.99
Year 5 PV (M)	902.16	945.74	990.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,517.56	29,894.97	31,325.10
Equity Value (M)	31,957.38	33,444.33	34,987.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	479.54	479.54	479.54
Fair Value	$66.64	$69.74	$72.96
Upside / Downside	702.92%	740.28%	779.04%

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M.C.S. Steel Public Company Limited (MCS-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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