DDM Analysis: MATX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$255.35 - $560.31	$366.89
Multi-Stage	$190.84 - $208.67	$199.59
Blended Fair Value	$283.24
Current Price	$98.59
Upside	187.29%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.79%	4.55%	1.37	1.37	1.46	1.40	1.20	1.14	1.08	1.03	0.98	0.94
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.44%	-6.25%	4.58%	17.09%	5.38%	5.08%	4.73%	4.97%	4.55%	7.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.07%	1.23%	2.45%	1.16%	1.79%	3.71%	2.90%	3.60%	3.09%	2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	429.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	384.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	85.94	53.71	32.23
Cash Retained (M)	384.70	384.70	384.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-85.94	-53.71	-32.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	298.76	330.99	352.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	32.78	32.78	32.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	9.12	10.10	10.75
LTM Dividend per Share	1.37	1.37	1.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	9.12	10.10	10.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.49	11.47	12.13
WACC / Discount Rate	9.48%	9.48%	9.48%
Growth Rate	5.16%	6.16%	7.16%
Fair Value	$255.35	$366.89	$560.31
Upside / Downside	159.00%	272.13%	468.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	429.70	456.16	484.24	514.05	545.70	579.30	596.68
Payout Ratio	10.47%	26.38%	42.28%	58.19%	74.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.00	120.32	204.75	299.12	404.33	521.37	551.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.48%	9.48%	9.48%
Growth Rate	5.16%	6.16%	7.16%
Year 1 PV (M)	108.87	109.91	110.94
Year 2 PV (M)	167.64	170.84	174.08
Year 3 PV (M)	221.60	227.98	234.48
Year 4 PV (M)	271.03	281.49	292.25
Year 5 PV (M)	316.23	331.55	347.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,169.26	5,419.76	5,679.89
Equity Value (M)	6,254.62	6,541.53	6,839.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	32.78	32.78	32.78
Fair Value	$190.84	$199.59	$208.67
Upside / Downside	93.56%	102.44%	111.65%

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Matson, Inc. (MATX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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