DDM Analysis: MALEE.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.66 - $18.30	$11.33
Multi-Stage	$6.98 - $7.64	$7.30
Blended Fair Value	$9.31
Current Price	$5.70
Upside	63.39%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.13	0.45	0.37	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	957.37%	0.00%	-100.00%	-100.00%	-71.58%	19.59%	30.94%	6.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.29%	0.03%	0.00%	0.00%	1.63%	2.05%	0.76%	1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	197.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	54.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)	143.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	39.57	24.73	14.84
Cash Retained (M)	143.30	143.30	143.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-39.57	-24.73	-14.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	103.72	118.56	128.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	544.53	544.53	544.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.22	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.22	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.29	0.32	0.34
WACC / Discount Rate	7.84%	7.84%	7.84%
Growth Rate	3.90%	4.90%	5.90%
Fair Value	$7.66	$11.33	$18.30
Upside / Downside	34.32%	98.69%	221.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	197.85	207.55	217.71	228.37	239.56	251.29	258.83
Payout Ratio	27.58%	40.06%	52.55%	65.03%	77.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	54.56	83.14	114.40	148.51	185.69	226.16	239.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.84%	7.84%	7.84%
Growth Rate	3.90%	4.90%	5.90%
Year 1 PV (M)	76.36	77.10	77.83
Year 2 PV (M)	96.50	98.36	100.25
Year 3 PV (M)	115.06	118.41	121.83
Year 4 PV (M)	132.13	137.29	142.60
Year 5 PV (M)	147.80	155.05	162.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,230.98	3,389.49	3,554.16
Equity Value (M)	3,798.82	3,975.70	4,159.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	544.53	544.53	544.53
Fair Value	$6.98	$7.30	$7.64
Upside / Downside	22.39%	28.09%	34.00%

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Malee Group Public Company Limited (MALEE.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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