DDM Analysis: LSXMA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$59.23 - $86.43	$72.37
Multi-Stage	$98.29 - $108.24	$103.16
Blended Fair Value	$87.77
Current Price	$22.29
Upside	293.75%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.17	0.67	0.16	0.17	0.18	0.16	0.16	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-73.90%	329.31%	-9.38%	-5.88%	15.25%	-1.67%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.59%	2.38%	0.34%	0.39%	0.58%	0.40%	0.39%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,950.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	51.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,899.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	590.00	368.75	221.25
Cash Retained (M)	2,899.00	2,899.00	2,899.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-590.00	-368.75	-221.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,309.00	2,530.25	2,677.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	374.00	374.00	374.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.17	6.77	7.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.17	6.77	7.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.31	6.90	7.30
WACC / Discount Rate	8.44%	8.44%	8.44%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$59.23	$72.37	$86.43
Upside / Downside	165.71%	224.68%	287.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,950.00	2,920.50	2,891.30	2,862.38	2,833.76	2,805.42	2,889.58
Payout Ratio	1.73%	19.38%	37.04%	54.69%	72.35%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	51.00	566.08	1,070.86	1,565.48	2,050.10	2,524.88	2,672.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.44%	8.44%	8.44%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	516.74	522.02	527.29
Year 2 PV (M)	892.33	910.63	929.12
Year 3 PV (M)	1,190.79	1,227.62	1,265.20
Year 4 PV (M)	1,423.51	1,482.51	1,543.32
Year 5 PV (M)	1,600.37	1,683.71	1,770.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31,135.36	32,756.65	34,444.79
Equity Value (M)	36,759.10	38,583.13	40,480.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	374.00	374.00	374.00
Fair Value	$98.29	$103.16	$108.24
Upside / Downside	340.94%	362.82%	385.58%

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Sector

The Liberty SiriusXM Group (LSXMA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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