DDM Analysis: LREN3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$168.17 - $269.43	$252.49
Multi-Stage	$44.11 - $48.28	$46.15
Blended Fair Value	$149.32
Current Price	$15.13
Upside	886.93%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.08%	16.13%	0.67	0.45	0.74	0.24	0.24	0.40	0.28	0.25	0.23	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	49.72%	-39.55%	213.26%	0.08%	-40.39%	42.21%	13.54%	5.36%	34.36%	15.35%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.51%	2.94%	4.94%	0.95%	0.68%	1.45%	0.86%	0.97%	1.24%	1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,392.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	638.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	753.96

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	278.42	174.01	104.41
Cash Retained (M)	753.96	753.96	753.96
(-) Cash Required (M)	-278.42	-174.01	-104.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)	475.54	579.95	649.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,027.57	1,027.57	1,027.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.56	0.63
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.56	0.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.08	1.19	1.25
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$168.17	$252.49	$269.43
Upside / Downside	1,011.47%	1,568.81%	1,680.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,392.09	1,482.58	1,578.95	1,681.58	1,790.88	1,907.29	1,964.51
Payout Ratio	45.84%	54.67%	63.50%	72.34%	81.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	638.13	810.55	1,002.69	1,216.39	1,453.62	1,716.56	1,817.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	756.21	763.38	770.55
Year 2 PV (M)	872.75	889.37	906.15
Year 3 PV (M)	987.76	1,016.12	1,045.01
Year 4 PV (M)	1,101.27	1,143.62	1,187.18
Year 5 PV (M)	1,213.28	1,271.88	1,332.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	40,390.54	42,341.42	44,366.96
Equity Value (M)	45,321.81	47,425.79	49,608.58
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,027.57	1,027.57	1,027.57
Fair Value	$44.11	$46.15	$48.28
Upside / Downside	191.51%	205.05%	219.09%

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Financial Statements

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Lojas Renner S.A. (LREN3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener