DDM Analysis: LPIN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5,839.01 - $14,276.12	$13,378.82
Multi-Stage	$2,164.34 - $2,364.13	$2,262.42
Blended Fair Value	$7,820.62
Current Price	$484.00
Upside	1,515.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	24.83	14.92	14.92	117.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	66.47%	0.00%	-87.25%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.37%	4.55%	3.95%	26.47%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	30,508.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	29,550.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	957.76

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,101.67	3,813.55	2,288.13
Cash Retained (M)	957.76	957.76	957.76
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,101.67	-3,813.55	-2,288.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-5,143.91	-2,855.78	-1,330.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	425.00	425.00	425.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-12.10	-6.72	-3.13
LTM Dividend per Share	69.53	69.53	69.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-12.10	-6.72	-3.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	57.43	62.81	66.40
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5,839.01	$13,378.82	$14,276.12
Upside / Downside	1,106.41%	2,664.22%	2,849.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	30,508.37	32,491.42	34,603.36	36,852.58	39,248.00	41,799.12	43,053.09
Payout Ratio	96.86%	95.49%	94.12%	92.74%	91.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	29,550.61	31,025.58	32,567.44	34,178.65	35,861.73	37,619.21	39,824.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	28,848.27	29,121.71	29,395.16
Year 2 PV (M)	28,156.81	28,693.11	29,234.48
Year 3 PV (M)	27,476.07	28,264.81	29,068.50
Year 4 PV (M)	26,805.93	27,836.81	28,897.14
Year 5 PV (M)	26,146.24	27,409.11	28,720.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	782,412.71	820,203.54	859,440.71
Equity Value (M)	919,846.03	961,529.10	1,004,756.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	425.00	425.00	425.00
Fair Value	$2,164.34	$2,262.42	$2,364.13
Upside / Downside	347.18%	367.44%	388.46%

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PT Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk (LPIN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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