DDM Analysis: LOXLEY.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.56 - $0.79	$0.67
Multi-Stage	$1.14 - $1.26	$1.20
Blended Fair Value	$0.94
Current Price	$1.56
Upside	-40.02%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	-2.28%	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	40.00%	-50.00%	13.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.08%	0.00%	3.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.44%	2.96%	1.52%	3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	208.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	68.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	140.08

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.63	26.02	15.61
Cash Retained (M)	140.08	140.08	140.08
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.63	-26.02	-15.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	98.45	114.06	124.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,327.32	2,327.32	2,327.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.08	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	7.97%	7.97%	7.97%
Growth Rate	-4.28%	-3.28%	-2.28%
Fair Value	$0.56	$0.67	$0.79
Upside / Downside	-64.16%	-56.87%	-49.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	208.16	201.34	194.74	188.36	182.19	176.22	181.51
Payout Ratio	32.70%	44.16%	55.62%	67.08%	78.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	68.07	88.92	108.32	126.36	143.09	158.60	167.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.97%	7.97%	7.97%
Growth Rate	-4.28%	-3.28%	-2.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	81.50	82.35	83.20
Year 2 PV (M)	91.00	92.91	94.84
Year 3 PV (M)	97.30	100.38	103.52
Year 4 PV (M)	100.99	105.28	109.70
Year 5 PV (M)	102.60	108.07	113.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,183.70	2,300.18	2,421.56
Equity Value (M)	2,657.09	2,789.17	2,926.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,327.32	2,327.32	2,327.32
Fair Value	$1.14	$1.20	$1.26
Upside / Downside	-26.81%	-23.18%	-19.39%

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Loxley Public Company Limited (LOXLEY.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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