DDM Analysis: LNG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$687.82 - $3,572.93	$1,389.94
Multi-Stage	$376.90 - $412.54	$394.39
Blended Fair Value	$892.17
Current Price	$234.98
Upside	279.68%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.85	1.76	1.57	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	4.83%	12.61%	310.59%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.80%	1.11%	0.99%	0.28%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	444.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,561.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	801.00	500.63	300.38
Cash Retained (M)	3,561.00	3,561.00	3,561.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-801.00	-500.63	-300.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,760.00	3,060.38	3,260.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	222.93	222.93	222.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.38	13.73	14.63
LTM Dividend per Share	1.99	1.99	1.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.38	13.73	14.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14.37	15.72	16.62
WACC / Discount Rate	7.70%	7.70%	7.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$687.82	$1,389.94	$3,572.93
Upside / Downside	192.72%	491.51%	1,420.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,005.00	4,265.33	4,542.57	4,837.84	5,152.30	5,487.20	5,651.81
Payout Ratio	11.09%	26.87%	42.65%	58.43%	74.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	444.00	1,146.05	1,937.48	2,826.96	3,823.89	4,938.48	5,227.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.70%	7.70%	7.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,054.07	1,064.07	1,074.06
Year 2 PV (M)	1,638.99	1,670.21	1,701.72
Year 3 PV (M)	2,199.52	2,262.66	2,326.99
Year 4 PV (M)	2,736.41	2,841.65	2,949.89
Year 5 PV (M)	3,250.41	3,407.41	3,570.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	73,141.13	76,673.87	80,341.82
Equity Value (M)	84,020.53	87,919.86	91,964.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	222.93	222.93	222.93
Fair Value	$376.90	$394.39	$412.54
Upside / Downside	60.40%	67.84%	75.56%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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