DDM Analysis: LLQ.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$30.03 - $62.59	$42.37
Multi-Stage	$27.37 - $29.89	$28.61
Blended Fair Value	$35.49
Current Price	$38.11
Upside	-6.88%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	10.96%	0.00%	0.50	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.36	0.29	0.08	0.04	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	30.63%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	22.73%	250.32%	93.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.30%	1.17%	0.00%	0.00%	1.01%	0.67%	0.18%	0.09%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.44	1.52	0.91
Cash Retained (M)	5.60	5.60	5.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.44	-1.52	-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.16	4.07	4.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7.36	7.36	7.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	0.55	0.64
LTM Dividend per Share	0.90	0.90	0.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	0.55	0.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.33	1.45	1.53
WACC / Discount Rate	8.81%	8.81%	8.81%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Fair Value	$30.03	$42.37	$62.59
Upside / Downside	-21.19%	11.17%	64.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12.20	12.83	13.50	14.21	14.95	15.73	16.20
Payout Ratio	54.12%	61.30%	68.47%	75.65%	82.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.60	7.87	9.25	10.75	12.38	14.15	14.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.81%	8.81%	8.81%
Growth Rate	4.21%	5.21%	6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	7.16	7.23	7.30
Year 2 PV (M)	7.66	7.81	7.96
Year 3 PV (M)	8.11	8.34	8.58
Year 4 PV (M)	8.50	8.83	9.17
Year 5 PV (M)	8.85	9.28	9.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	161.10	168.98	177.17
Equity Value (M)	201.38	210.47	219.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	7.36	7.36	7.36
Fair Value	$27.37	$28.61	$29.89
Upside / Downside	-28.17%	-24.93%	-21.57%

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Lalique Group S.A. (LLQ.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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