Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krones AG (KRN.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.67 - $208.27$158.37
Multi-Stage$118.21 - $129.19$123.60
Blended Fair Value$140.98
Current Price$124.00
Upside13.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.29%0.96%2.201.751.400.060.751.701.701.561.451.25
YoY Growth--25.71%25.00%2,232.81%-92.00%-55.88%0.00%9.18%7.38%16.00%-37.50%
Dividend Yield--1.76%1.38%1.36%0.08%1.08%3.49%2.08%1.42%1.38%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)289.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.9236.2021.72
Cash Retained (M)207.51207.51207.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.92-36.20-21.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)149.59171.31185.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.5631.5631.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.745.435.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.602.602.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.745.435.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.348.038.49
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$120.67$158.37$208.27
Upside / Downside-2.69%27.72%67.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)289.62303.08317.17331.91347.34363.49374.39
Payout Ratio28.35%40.68%53.01%65.34%77.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.11123.29168.13216.87269.78327.14346.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)111.06112.13113.20
Year 2 PV (M)136.42139.07141.74
Year 3 PV (M)158.51163.14167.87
Year 4 PV (M)177.62184.57191.73
Year 5 PV (M)194.01203.56213.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,953.533,098.793,249.70
Equity Value (M)3,731.163,901.264,077.71
Shares Outstanding (M)31.5631.5631.56
Fair Value$118.21$123.60$129.19
Upside / Downside-4.67%-0.32%4.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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