DDM Analysis: KNSL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$583.33 - $2,144.45	$975.50
Multi-Stage	$361.22 - $395.33	$377.96
Blended Fair Value	$676.73
Current Price	$425.26
Upside	59.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.01%	0.00%	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.43	0.35	0.30	0.25	0.22	0.09	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	7.61%	8.61%	19.02%	24.13%	16.51%	17.32%	17.21%	140.30%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.12%	0.11%	0.17%	0.19%	0.21%	0.28%	0.37%	0.42%	0.28%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	474.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	458.74

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	94.82	59.26	35.56
Cash Retained (M)	458.74	458.74	458.74
(-) Cash Required (M)	-94.82	-59.26	-35.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)	363.93	399.48	423.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	23.31	23.31	23.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	15.62	17.14	18.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.66	0.66	0.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share	15.62	17.14	18.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.27	17.80	18.82
WACC / Discount Rate	8.44%	8.44%	8.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$583.33	$975.50	$2,144.45
Upside / Downside	37.17%	129.39%	404.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	474.09	504.90	537.72	572.67	609.90	649.54	669.03
Payout Ratio	3.24%	20.59%	37.94%	55.29%	72.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.34	103.96	204.02	316.66	443.07	584.59	618.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.44%	8.44%	8.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	94.96	95.86	96.76
Year 2 PV (M)	170.25	173.49	176.76
Year 3 PV (M)	241.37	248.30	255.36
Year 4 PV (M)	308.52	320.38	332.58
Year 5 PV (M)	371.84	389.80	408.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,231.49	7,580.77	7,943.42
Equity Value (M)	8,418.42	8,808.60	9,213.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	23.31	23.31	23.31
Fair Value	$361.22	$377.96	$395.33
Upside / Downside	-15.06%	-11.12%	-7.04%

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Financial Statements

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Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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